Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014 0.000016
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000014 0.000017 0.000021
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016 0.000020 0.000027
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000032
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000040
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000046
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000031 0.000056
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000021 0.000036 0.000068
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000039 0.000081
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000044 0.000097
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000013 0.000024 0.000048 0.000115
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000054 0.000137
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000059 0.000161
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000065 0.000194
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000029 0.000072 0.000235
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000013 0.000029 0.000076 0.000267
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000031 0.000084 0.000319
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000031 0.000087 0.000357
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000032 0.000095 0.000425
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000034 0.000106 0.000525
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000035 0.000116 0.000625
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000037 0.000128 0.000767
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000038 0.000139 0.000921